[Blueboard] Special Lecture: Political Crisis in South Korea and Northeast Asia Regional Security

Jamie Ann A. Abucal jabucal at ateneo.edu
Thu Apr 27 15:00:59 +08 2017


The Korean Studies Program, School of Social Sciences,

Ateneo de Manila University,

in partnership with the Department of Political Science and Diplomacy,

Pusan National University



invites you to a Special Lecture



*“Political Crisis in South Korea and Northeast Asia Regional Security”*



*by Dr.  Robert E Kelly (Pusan National University)*



and *Discussion *



*by Dr. Aileen Baviera (Asian Center, University of the Philippines) *



*on 5 May 2017 (Friday) | 09:30AM | at Leong Hall, Ateneo de Manila
University*



*ONLINE REGISTRATION REQUIRED (DEADLINE: 30 APR 2017): *
https://goo.gl/forms/IwP41KnrELH8G6eX2



South Korean politics has been adrift for months. The scandal surrounding
impeached President Park Geun-Hye has frozen national politics, creating
space for China and North Korea to challenge South Korea over missile
defense in Northeast Asia. At home, the scandal revealed serious issues of
corruption and governance in dire need for reform. These will occupy
whomever wins the presidency in May.



This lecture will start with a basic description of South Korea’s
constitutional order. Like the Philippines, South Korea is a presidential
democracy with a very powerful executive. But it also includes elements of
a prime ministerial, or Westminster, system, including a prime minister and
proportional representation. Calls to reform this system, including the
duration of the presidential term, are widespread. In the context of this
constitutional discussion, the speaker will argue that the South Korean
prime minister should probably be changed into a traditional vice-president.



Next will be a discussion of the upcoming special presidential election on May
9. The speaker will discuss the candidates, parties, ideologies, and
platforms. A liberal is widely expected to win, and this will likely have a
major impact on foreign policy, where the South Korea right and left differ
greatly. The left will likely be more accommodating of North Korea and
China, while tougher with the US and Japan.



The lecture will then turn to foreign policy issues given the widening gap
between Seoul and Beijing over missile defense. This includes the US
Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system (I will argue that is
generally a good idea), China’s vociferous resistance, and how this is
forcing Seoul to choose between the US and China – a choice it has sought
to avoid for two decades.



Given the mounting tension on the peninsula, the speaker will also discuss
military options against North Korea and why the Trump administration has
recently struck such a hardline against Pyongyang. Relevant issues of North
Korea’s internal structure – such as the Kim monarchy and its *juche*
ideology – will likewise be presented.


-----------


*ABOUT THE SPEAKER*



*Dr. Robert E Kelly*



Robert Kelly is an Associate Professor of the Department of Political
Science and Diplomacy, Pusan National University. His work focuses on
international security and political economy. His primary areas of interest
are East Asian security, US foreign policy, and the Middle East. A second
area is the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.



Robert Kelly’s recent scholarly work has focused on the US ‘pivot’ to Asia,
and on Confucianism in the geopolitics of East Asia. He has written for
journals such as, the *European Journal of International Relations*
<http://ejt.sagepub.com/content/18/3/407.abstract>, the *Pacific Review*
<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/.U3CJ6HmKDcs#.VAgQyXkcTcs>, and
the *International Studies Review*
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-2486.2007.00671.x/abstract>
*.*



Dr. Kelly also writes regularly for popular publications, including *Foreign
Affairs* <http://www.foreignaffairs.com/author/robert-e-kelly>, *The
National Interest* <http://nationalinterest.org/profile/robert-e-kelly>, *The
Diplomat* <http://thediplomat.com/authors/robert-e-kelly/>, and *Newsweek*
<https://asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com/?s=Newsweek>. He has appeared as
an analyst on television news
<http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLaLCR_fe1FTuJZE4H61P373QmzqJTatN6&feature=view_all>
services, including the CNN, BBC, and CNBC. He is a contributor to the
Economist Intelligence Unit Asia-Pacific section and has visited North Korea
<http://koreajoongangdaily.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=2960958>.
He has consulted for private sector firms for many years on northeast Asia.



PhD: Ohio State University

Fields: International Security; International Political Economy



*[ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHOR (added by the Organizers)]*

Prof. Robert Kelly is the person in the BBC video interview that went viral
recently. “BBC interview with Robert Kelly interrupted by children live on
air” http://www.bbc.com/news/world-39232538 ]



*ABOUT THE DISCUSSANT*



[image: baviera aileen] *Dr. Aileen Baviera *



Aileen San Pablo-Baviera is a Professor at the Asian Center, University of
the Philippines, where she also served as Dean from 2003-2009. She has a
visiting professor appointment at the Asia-Europe Institute of the
University of Malaya in Kuala Lumpur. Since July 2010, she has served as
editor-in-chief of the international academic journal, *Asian Politics and
Policy. *



Having trained in both area studies and international relations, her
specializations include contemporary China, Southeast Asia-China relations,
Asia Pacific security, with secondary interests in regional integration and
Asian civil society. Her recent publications have focused on the South
China Sea disputes, Chinese foreign relations, Philippines-China relations,
and Philippine foreign policy. Over the years, Dr. Baviera has held
visiting fellowships or delivered public lectures at various institutions,
and has authored over one hundred published works, delivered presentations
and remarks at over 200 international conferences, and convened close to 40
roundtables and conferences.



She has advised pro bono, past or present, the Department of Foreign
Affairs, the Department of National Defense, the National Security Council
and the Philippine Navy. She has also lectured at the Foreign Service
Institute, the National Defense College and various training institutions
of the Armed Forces of the Philippines.



As a former member of the East Asia Vision Group, she participated in
processes leading to the strengthening of ASEAN Plus Three regional
organization. Prior to joining academe, she had been head (1993-1998) of
the Center for International Relations and Strategic Studies of the
Philippine Foreign Service Institute, and Executive-Director (1998-2002) of
the nonprofit development NGO - the Philippines-China Development Resource
Center whose mandate was the promotion of Philippines-China development
cooperation.


FOR INQUIRIES, please contact 351 1620 / jabucal at ateneo.edu /
sdomingo at ateneo.edu / ksp.soss at ateneo.edu
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