[Blueboard] Fw: JUAN over Sorsogon... (Update #05)

Rene S. R. San Andres renesans at admu.edu.ph
Sat Jul 20 08:37:53 PHT 2002


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TYPHOON 2000 STORM UPDATE #05
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION JUAN [13W]
Issued: 12:00 AM local (16:00 UTC) Sat 20 July 2002
Next Update: 6:00 AM local (22:00 UTC) today
Source: PAGASA Bulletin-Warning #05
____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JUAN HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW
IN THE VICINITY OF SORSOGON.

THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO CROSS CAMARINES PROVINCES
TOMORROW, JULY 20TH - VERY CLOSE TO TYPHOON2000.COM'S
HOMEBASE IN NAGA CITY.
____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 10:00 PM LOCAL (14:00 UTC) 19 JULY
POSITION: 12.9N 123.9E
DISTANCE: 110 KM. (60 NM.) SE OF NAGA CITY, PH
35 KM. (20 NM.) SE OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH
MAX SUST WINDS [10-MIN. AVE.]: 55 KPH (30 KTS)
GUSTS: 70 KPH (38 KTS)
CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1000 MB.
WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET
FORECAST MOVEMENT: NW @ 09 KPH (05 KTS)
TOWARDS: ALBAY-CAMARINES AREA
VIEW TRACKING MAP: http://typhoon2000.ph/juan02_trak.gif

SIGNALS*:
# 1 - NORTHERN SAMAR, MASBATE, SORSOGON, BURIAS ISLAND, ALBAY,
CATANDUANES, CAMARINES PROVINCES,MARINDUQUE, AND SOUTHERN
QUEZON INCLUDING POLILLO ISLANDS.

FORECAST POSITIONS:
> 8PM (12 UTC) 20 JULY: 14.2N 122.4E
> 8PM (12 UTC) 21 JULY: 16.0N 121.7E
> 8PM (12 UTC) 22 JULY: 18.0N 121.3E

REMARKS: 8PM (12 UTC) 19 JULY POSITION: 12.8N 124.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION "JUAN" IS EXPECTED TO CROSS CAMARINES SUR
TONIGHT AND CAMARINES NORTE TOMORROW MORNING. IT IS ABOUT
50 KMS EAST OF ALABAT, QUEZON BY TOMORROW EVENING. BY SUNDAY
EVENING, IT WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF CASIGURAN, AURORA AND BY
MONDAY EVENING, IT WILL BE 60 KMS NORTHWEST OF TUGUEGARAO,
CAGAYAN.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION "JUAN" WILL ENHANCE THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON
AND BRING OCCASIONAL RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LUZON AND THE REST OF VISAYAS. RESIDENTS
IN LOW-LYING AREAS ARE ADVISED TO BE ALERT AGAINST POSSIBLE
FLOODINGS AND LANDSLIDES.
____________________________________________________________________________

> View the LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY (Courtesy of NPMOC/JTWC) by clicking
this link: http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/sat/gms_nwtrop/ir/nwtrop_ir.jpg
____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

^ - Taken from JTWC's Prognostic Discussion

* - Based on Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the
highest. For more info on these signals, visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height taken from the latest JTWC
Warning.
____________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD JUAN [13W], visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.typhoon2000.ph {http://66.40.4.61}
> http://www.ncf.edu.ph/typhoon (Alternate Site @ Naga College Foundation)

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
____________________________________________________________________________
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